Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LAM -340 NWST +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -9.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -9.2 (-11.2) | 136.4 (+1.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -8.6 (-10.6) | 136.6 (+1.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -8.2 (-10.2) | 134.5 (+3.5) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -8.0 (-10.0) | 136.5 (+1.5) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | LAM 76 – 61 NWST |
| Feb 18, 2025 | LAM 75 – 65 NWST |
| Jan 28, 2025 | LAM 69 – 59 NWST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LAM 82 – 77 NWST |
| Jan 7, 2024 | LAM 90 – 70 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 8-14 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L8 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#183) | -7.8 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#228) | -1.98 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#220) | -2.47 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#250) | 0.398 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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