Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NWST +150 LAM -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -1.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -0.4 (-14.6) | 138.5 (-1.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -0.8 (-15.8) | 141.0 (-4.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -0.3 (-14.7) | 144.2 (-7.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -0.5 (-15.5) | 140.9 (-3.9) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | NWST 70 – 68 LAM |
| Feb 18, 2025 | LAM 75 – 65 NWST |
| Jan 28, 2025 | LAM 69 – 59 NWST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LAM 82 – 77 NWST |
| Jan 7, 2024 | LAM 90 – 70 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 7-15 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-15 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#296) | -5.3 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#313) | -1.56 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#291) | -1.97 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#289) | 0.375 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 27.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 61.0% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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