Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -210 NWST +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +10 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -4.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -3.2 (+6.8) | 130.9 (-2.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -3.8 (+6.2) | 131.2 (-3.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -2.7 (+7.3) | 130.9 (-2.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -2.5 (+7.5) | 131.2 (-3.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | NWST 70 – 68 LAM |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LAM 76 – 61 NWST |
| Feb 18, 2025 | LAM 75 – 65 NWST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LAM 82 – 77 NWST |
| Jan 7, 2024 | LAM 90 – 70 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#210) | -4.0 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#230) | -0.61 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#221) | -0.39 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#224) | 0.474 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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