Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -300 UCR +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +8 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -10.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -6.8 (+1.2) | 147.5 (+10.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -7.7 (+0.3) | 150.0 (+8.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -7.9 (+0.1) | 150.3 (+7.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -7.7 (+0.3) | 150.3 (+7.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCR 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 73 UCR |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCR 87 – 66 LBSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCR 76 – 60 LBSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | LBSU 86 – 67 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#151) | -5.4 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#112) | -1.16 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#128) | -1.21 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#135) | 0.441 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.