Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +120 HAW -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -5.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -2.3 (+7.7) | 141.4 (+0.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -4.9 (+5.1) | 140.0 (+2.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -4.6 (+5.4) | 140.3 (+1.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -4.3 (+5.7) | 141.8 (+0.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 60 HAW |
| Jan 25, 2026 | HAW 89 – 68 CSUN |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CSUN 82 – 73 HAW |
| Jan 17, 2025 | CSUN 83 – 60 HAW |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HAW 75 – 68 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#136) | 0.9 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#100) | 0.07 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#121) | 0.21 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#172) | 0.487 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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