Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | UTEP -550 CHST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -7.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -6.1 (-1.1) | 130.7 (+12.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -5.3 (-0.3) | 130.1 (+12.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -5.7 (-0.7) | 130.1 (+12.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -5.5 (-0.5) | 131.1 (+11.9) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Home | 13-5 | 6-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#247) | -7.6 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#250) | -1.24 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#244) | -1.92 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#269) | 0.444 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 24.6% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 36.2% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.4% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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