Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | DAY -355 MASS +278 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +4 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -8.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -8.2 (-4.2) | 148.6 (-24.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -8.7 (-4.7) | 149.1 (-25.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -7.9 (-3.9) | 149.9 (-25.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -8.2 (-4.2) | 149.2 (-25.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2025 | MASS 76 – 72 DAY |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DAY 72 – 54 MASS |
| Mar 11, 2022 | DAY 75 – 72 MASS |
| Feb 24, 2022 | DAY 82 – 61 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-0 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#37) | 7.5 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#10) | 0.90 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.15 (#11) | 1.30 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.668 (#4) | 0.556 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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