Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MASS +450 DAY -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -10.6 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -8.7 (+12.7) | 144.9 (+3.1) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -10.7 (+14.7) | 146.8 (+1.2) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -9.9 (+13.9) | 145.4 (+2.6) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -10.1 (+14.1) | 145.3 (+2.7) | 19% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2024 | DAY 64 – 60 MASS |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DAY 72 – 54 MASS |
| Mar 11, 2022 | DAY 75 – 72 MASS |
| Feb 24, 2022 | DAY 82 – 61 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-8 | 16-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#259) | 9.3 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#285) | 1.93 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#279) | 2.73 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#264) | 0.588 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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