Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | DAY -600 MASS +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -10.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -8.2 (-5.2) | 140.5 (+6.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -9.9 (-6.9) | 144.7 (+2.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -9.6 (-6.6) | 144.3 (+2.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -9.6 (-6.6) | 139.2 (+7.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2025 | MASS 76 – 72 DAY |
| Jan 7, 2024 | DAY 64 – 60 MASS |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DAY 72 – 54 MASS |
| Feb 24, 2022 | DAY 82 – 61 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.2 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#53) | -1.0 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#68) | 0.08 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#61) | -0.00 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#56) | 0.507 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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