Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MASS +310 DAY -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +18 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | DAY -4.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -3.4 (-14.6) | 136.3 (-10.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -4.7 (-13.3) | 134.0 (-8.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -3.5 (-14.5) | 136.4 (-10.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -4.2 (-13.8) | 137.9 (-11.9) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2025 | MASS 76 – 72 DAY |
| Jan 7, 2024 | DAY 64 – 60 MASS |
| Mar 11, 2022 | DAY 75 – 72 MASS |
| Feb 24, 2022 | DAY 82 – 61 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 61.0 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#178) | 7.7 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#159) | 0.93 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#162) | 1.39 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#144) | 0.550 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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