Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF +138 UCSD -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +18 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -1.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -1.7 (-16.3) | 134.0 (-0.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -0.0 (-18.0) | 134.2 (-0.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -0.8 (-17.2) | 133.5 (+0.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -1.2 (-16.8) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUF 75 – 71 UCSD |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CSUF 88 – 71 UCSD |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCSD 100 – 55 CSUF |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UCSD 90 – 51 CSUF |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCSD 76 – 69 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#242) | 1.7 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#133) | -0.40 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#164) | -0.22 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#112) | 0.472 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.