Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | BEL +185 DRKE -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +22 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -2.9 (+24.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -2.5 (+24.5) | 150.3 (+1.7) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -2.2 (+24.2) | 150.6 (+1.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -2.1 (+24.1) | 151.0 (+1.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -3.3 (+25.3) | 152.3 (-0.3) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DRKE 100 – 79 BEL |
| Feb 4, 2026 | BEL 103 – 90 DRKE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BEL 78 – 76 DRKE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DRKE 57 – 50 BEL |
| Dec 29, 2024 | DRKE 65 – 46 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 16-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#161) | 7.6 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#113) | 1.91 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#117) | 2.72 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#105) | 0.580 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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