Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | UNA -500 CARK +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -13.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -10.7 (-13.7) | 149.8 (+15.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -9.6 (-12.6) | 148.5 (+16.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -9.9 (-12.9) | 149.3 (+15.7) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -10.1 (-13.1) | 148.3 (+16.7) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | CARK 72 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 5, 2026 | CARK 81 – 60 UNA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UNA 93 – 70 CARK |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNA 94 – 65 CARK |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNA 82 – 78 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#254) | -13.7 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#278) | -2.93 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#283) | -3.50 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#220) | 0.371 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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