Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UNA +250 CARK -310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +7 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CARK -10.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -8.7 (+1.7) | 144.9 (-7.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -7.5 (+0.5) | 148.1 (-11.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -8.6 (+1.6) | 144.3 (-7.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -9.2 (+2.2) | 146.0 (-9.0) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CARK 81 – 60 UNA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UNA 93 – 70 CARK |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNA 94 – 65 CARK |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNA 82 – 78 CARK |
| Jan 7, 2024 | CARK 84 – 81 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#341) | -0.2 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#329) | -0.38 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#336) | -0.55 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#322) | 0.498 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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