Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | CARK +180 UNA -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -5.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -4.0 (-0.0) | 152.7 (+7.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -5.3 (+1.3) | 148.8 (+11.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -3.7 (-0.3) | 150.0 (+10.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -3.8 (-0.2) | 151.2 (+8.8) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | CARK 72 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 5, 2026 | CARK 81 – 60 UNA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UNA 93 – 70 CARK |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNA 94 – 65 CARK |
| Jan 7, 2024 | CARK 84 – 81 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 5-10 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#344) | -4.9 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#330) | -0.84 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#333) | -1.05 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#344) | 0.459 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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