Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | TEM -105 WICH -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +7 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -0.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -1.1 (+5.9) | 143.4 (-14.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -1.0 (+6.0) | 145.5 (-16.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -0.7 (+6.3) | 147.1 (-18.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -0.7 (+6.3) | 143.3 (-14.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WICH 69 – 57 TEM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TEM 91 – 85 WICH |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TEM 72 – 66 WICH |
| Feb 17, 2023 | WICH 79 – 65 TEM |
| Feb 7, 2021 | WICH 70 – 67 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#209) | 2.0 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#181) | 0.42 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#216) | 0.50 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#153) | 0.540 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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