Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | CLE -195 NKU +162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +3 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -6.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -4.5 (-1.5) | 144.5 (+28.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -6.0 (-3.0) | 145.4 (+27.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -5.8 (-2.8) | 146.8 (+26.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -5.4 (-2.4) | 145.1 (+27.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NKU 81 – 70 CLE |
| Dec 4, 2025 | NKU 95 – 80 CLE |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CLE 68 – 63 NKU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | NKU 85 – 75 CLE |
| Jan 16, 2025 | CLE 76 – 58 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#175) | -2.4 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#143) | -0.37 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#147) | -0.52 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#159) | 0.482 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 62.6% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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