Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -275 SUU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -5.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -5.7 (+12.3) | 142.0 (-0.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -4.8 (+13.2) | 144.2 (-2.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -5.0 (+13.0) | 144.6 (-2.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -4.2 (+13.8) | 143.5 (-1.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UVU 92 – 88 SUU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SUU 84 – 70 UVU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVU 89 – 72 SUU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UVU 100 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UVU 70 – 68 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 77.8 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#193) | -3.2 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#160) | -1.37 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#160) | -1.39 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#144) | 0.431 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 24.6% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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