Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | SJSU +178 BOIS -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -3.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -3.5 (-5.5) | 140.0 (+7.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -3.4 (-5.6) | 141.0 (+6.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -4.9 (-4.1) | 143.0 (+4.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -4.0 (-5.0) | 142.1 (+4.9) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SJSU 84 – 74 BOIS |
| Feb 21, 2026 | BOIS 84 – 69 SJSU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | BOIS 89 – 58 SJSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | BOIS 79 – 52 SJSU |
| Dec 28, 2024 | BOIS 73 – 71 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-9 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#172) | 7.6 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#203) | 1.26 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#192) | 1.54 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#267) | 0.577 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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