Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | BALL -250 CMU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | BALL -12.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -9.1 (-15.1) | 137.2 (-1.2) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -10.0 (-16.0) | 137.8 (-1.8) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -9.5 (-15.5) | 139.4 (-3.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -8.8 (-14.8) | 140.0 (-4.0) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BALL 85 – 69 CMU |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BALL 68 – 67 CMU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | CMU 69 – 67 BALL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | BALL 82 – 80 CMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BALL 79 – 71 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#258) | -13.3 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#212) | -1.89 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#236) | -2.96 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#233) | 0.430 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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