Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -105 BALL -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +1 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | CMU -0.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -0.4 (-1.4) | 137.8 (-2.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -0.5 (-1.5) | 136.9 (-1.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -1.0 (-2.0) | 137.1 (-2.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -0.4 (-1.4) | 137.8 (-2.8) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BALL 85 – 69 CMU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | CMU 69 – 67 BALL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | BALL 82 – 80 CMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BALL 79 – 71 CMU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | CMU 71 – 65 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#327) | -9.1 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#313) | -2.09 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#317) | -2.55 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#285) | 0.395 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.