Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | L-MD +115 LEH -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +12 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -2.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -4.4 (-7.6) | 139.2 (+24.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -2.7 (-9.3) | 136.6 (+27.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -2.8 (-9.2) | 137.5 (+26.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -2.8 (-9.2) | 142.2 (+21.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2026 | LEH 88 – 81 L-MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | L-MD 77 – 73 LEH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | L-MD 76 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 5, 2025 | L-MD 80 – 74 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 2-11 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-13 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#329) | -4.2 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.13 (#355) | -2.53 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.38 (#356) | -2.41 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#347) | 0.428 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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