Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | GTWN -292 DEP +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -10.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -6.3 (-3.3) | 139.3 (-6.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -7.1 (-4.1) | 138.1 (-5.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -6.9 (-3.9) | 137.3 (-4.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -7.8 (-4.8) | 137.7 (-4.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | GTWN 63 – 56 DEP |
| Jan 29, 2026 | GTWN 70 – 61 DEP |
| Jan 7, 2026 | DEP 56 – 50 GTWN |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DEP 71 – 67 GTWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DEP 83 – 77 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 0-20 |
| Home | 7-12 | 3-15 |
| Away | 2-10 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 81.8 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#181) | -6.7 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#200) | -1.32 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#174) | -1.58 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#236) | 0.477 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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