Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -400 NDSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +8 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -11.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -10.7 (-2.7) | 147.5 (+26.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -12.7 (-4.7) | 148.7 (+25.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -12.5 (-4.5) | 148.5 (+25.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -10.7 (-2.7) | 149.8 (+24.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | EWU 78 – 70 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 10-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#138) | -4.6 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#119) | -0.72 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#124) | -0.93 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#89) | 0.474 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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