Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -250 NDSU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -10.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -5.5 (+2.5) | 140.0 (+8.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -6.8 (+1.2) | 142.6 (+5.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -7.5 (+0.5) | 143.1 (+4.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -7.1 (+0.9) | 144.6 (+3.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2024 | EWU 91 – 83 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#265) | -9.3 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#311) | -3.81 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.14 (#317) | -5.26 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#303) | 0.428 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.