Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | DETM +350 MILW -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +23 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -5.2 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -7.9 (-15.1) | 141.7 (+3.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -6.8 (-16.2) | 145.0 (+0.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -8.4 (-14.6) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -7.2 (-15.8) | 145.6 (-0.6) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DETM 84 – 63 MILW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | DETM 91 – 86 MILW |
| Feb 5, 2026 | DETM 76 – 63 MILW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MILW 89 – 67 DETM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MILW 64 – 56 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-31 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 12-8 |
| Home | 1-11 | 12-4 |
| Away | 0-20 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -15.4 (#357) | -5.8 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.21 (#363) | -0.77 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.72 (#363) | -1.52 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#348) | 0.461 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 25.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 62.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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