I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Northeast Conference · Lawler Arena · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MRMK -4.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money MRMK -175 / SHU +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRMK win
Actual MRMK +24 140 Won
Massey MRMK -9.8 (+14.2) — —
Massey Totals — 132.7 (+7.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MRMK -6.8 (+17.2) 133.4 (+6.6) 72% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MRMK -6.9 (+17.1) 131.9 (+8.1) 76% ✓
Baseline ML MRMK -6.5 (+17.5) 132.7 (+7.3) 74% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MRMK -6.6 (+17.4) 134.0 (+6.0) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 6, 2026 MRMK 70 – 48 SHU
Feb 1, 2026 MRMK 75 – 58 SHU
Dec 29, 2025 MRMK 80 – 72 SHU
Mar 13, 2025 MRMK 66 – 62 SHU
Feb 22, 2025 SHU 60 – 59 MRMK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MRMK SHU
Overall 21-12 16-16
Conference 13-3 10-6
Home 13-2 11-5
Away 7-9 4-11
Neutral 1-1 1-0
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.8 72.8
Avg Pts Against 64.6 73.3
Massey -1.2 (#189) -6.6 (#282)
Bradley-Terry -0.31 (#199) -1.63 (#301)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.26 (#194) -2.15 (#308)
RPI 0.487 (#194) 0.411 (#323)
Shooting & Four Factors MRMK SHU
FG% 42.2% 43.5%
3PT% 27.9% 32.2%
REB / G 30.2 31.9
OREB / G 7.4 8.6
AST / TO 0.76 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 48.6%
TOV% 20.4% 17.2%
ORB% 22.1% 24.4%
FT Rate 25.0% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 22.8% 21.5%
DRB% 61.8% 65.7%
Opp FT Rate 25.2% 21.4%

Game Analysis

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