Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SDST -700 MTST +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +28 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -7.9 (+20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -6.4 (+21.6) | 145.1 (+4.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -6.4 (+21.6) | 143.2 (+6.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -6.5 (+21.5) | 144.7 (+5.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -7.0 (+21.0) | 144.9 (+5.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2021 | SDST 91 – 74 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#171) | -4.1 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#206) | -0.98 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#197) | -1.14 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#184) | 0.438 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.