Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -450 TNST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -12.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -8.6 (+1.4) | 144.2 (+1.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -11.5 (-1.5) | 144.5 (+1.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -10.9 (-0.9) | 145.3 (+0.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -10.2 (-0.2) | 145.0 (+1.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TNST 93 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MORE 94 – 86 TNST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TNST 105 – 100 MORE |
| Feb 28, 2025 | TNST 64 – 55 MORE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | MORE 74 – 68 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 9-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#131) | -5.3 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#100) | -1.20 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#118) | -1.16 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#100) | 0.426 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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