Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
Coastal Athletic Association · Convocation Center (VA) · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread HAMP -3.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money HAMP -138 / CAM +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total HAMP win
Actual CAM +11 149 Lost
Massey HAMP -0.8 (-11.8)
Massey Totals 136.8 (+12.2)
Bradley-Terry 66%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML CAM -0.7 (-10.3) 136.5 (+12.5) 42%
Baseline Tuned ML HAMP -0.7 (-11.7) 135.6 (+13.4) 48%
Baseline ML CAM -0.1 (-10.9) 135.8 (+13.2) 41%
Baseline Plus ML CAM -0.3 (-10.7) 133.5 (+15.5) 44%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 9, 2026 CAM 8672 HAMP
Jan 10, 2025 CAM 6655 HAMP
Feb 23, 2024 HAMP 7268 CAM
Feb 24, 2022 HAMP 6866 CAM
Jan 27, 2022 CAM 7560 HAMP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HAMP CAM
Overall 9-24 14-18
Conference 3-15 8-10
Home 5-9 11-6
Away 1-12 3-11
Neutral 3-3 0-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.0 69.0
Avg Pts Against 78.5 73.9
Massey -13.2 (#343) -9.7 (#320)
Bradley-Terry -2.57 (#343) -2.38 (#337)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.88 (#331) -2.93 (#334)
RPI 0.377 (#350) 0.347 (#360)
Shooting & Four Factors HAMP CAM
FG% 40.3% 42.1%
3PT% 28.4% 31.0%
REB / G 33.5 30.9
OREB / G 10.3 7.6
AST / TO 0.78 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 47.9%
TOV% 20.1% 20.2%
ORB% 27.4% 24.8%
FT Rate 23.8% 29.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.6% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 17.6%
DRB% 68.1% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 29.9% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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