Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CAM -278 HAMP +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -5.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -3.9 (+10.1) | 139.8 (+18.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -4.8 (+9.2) | 141.5 (+16.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -4.9 (+9.1) | 142.7 (+15.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -4.5 (+9.5) | 141.5 (+16.5) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2025 | CAM 66 – 55 HAMP |
| Feb 23, 2024 | HAMP 72 – 68 CAM |
| Jan 6, 2024 | CAM 80 – 69 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2022 | HAMP 68 – 66 CAM |
| Jan 27, 2022 | CAM 75 – 60 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#221) | -5.7 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#153) | -1.22 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#154) | -1.89 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#127) | 0.437 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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