We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · January 27, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -12.0 Home covered
O/U 124.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +15 135 Won
Massey CAM -12.7 (+2.3)
Massey Totals 117.7 (+17.3)
Bradley-Terry 88%
Weighted B-T 93%
Efficiency Plus ML CAM -9.9 (+5.1) 127.7 (+7.3) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -9.7 (+5.3) 128.7 (+6.3) 83%
Baseline ML CAM -10.7 (+4.3) 126.8 (+8.2) 82%
Baseline Plus ML CAM -10.3 (+4.7) 125.9 (+9.1) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 9, 2026 CAM 8672 HAMP
Jan 10, 2025 CAM 6655 HAMP
Feb 23, 2024 HAMP 7268 CAM
Jan 6, 2024 CAM 8069 HAMP
Feb 24, 2022 HAMP 6866 CAM

Game Analysis

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