I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Conference USA · Pete Mathews Coliseum · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -3.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money JXST -150 / FIU +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual JXST +7 133 Won
Massey JXST -11.5 (-4.5) — —
Massey Totals — 135.1 (-2.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 84% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 91% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -7.8 (-0.8) 135.4 (-2.4) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -8.1 (-1.1) 134.7 (-1.7) 81% ✓
Baseline ML JXST -8.6 (-1.6) 134.5 (-1.5) 79% ✓
Baseline Plus ML JXST -9.1 (-2.1) 135.4 (-2.4) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 JXST 78 – 74 FIU
Jan 8, 2026 JXST 71 – 64 FIU
Mar 13, 2025 JXST 65 – 56 FIU
Mar 1, 2025 JXST 84 – 79 FIU
Jan 31, 2025 JXST 71 – 67 FIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JXST FIU
Overall 14-18 11-22
Conference 6-10 5-11
Home 8-7 9-6
Away 5-10 1-12
Neutral 1-1 1-4
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 67.2 71.3
Avg Pts Against 67.6 77.2
Massey 1.2 (#151) -6.0 (#277)
Bradley-Terry -0.73 (#245) -1.55 (#298)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.34 (#198) -1.71 (#285)
RPI 0.468 (#230) 0.425 (#300)
Shooting & Four Factors JXST FIU
FG% 43.4% 43.1%
3PT% 30.5% 31.3%
REB / G 36.9 31.9
OREB / G 12.2 11.3
AST / TO 0.77 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 49.5%
TOV% 20.1% 20.2%
ORB% 34.3% 29.1%
FT Rate 21.5% 18.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.2% 56.4%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 25.8%
DRB% 73.3% 62.9%
Opp FT Rate 25.3% 27.7%

Game Analysis

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