I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Southland Conference · Lakefront Arena · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UNO -1.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money UNO -110 / SELA +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNO win
Actual SELA +5 141 Lost
Massey UNO -2.8 (-7.8) — —
Massey Totals — 139.9 (+1.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNO -0.2 (-5.2) 139.3 (+1.7) 42% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNO -1.6 (-6.6) 137.4 (+3.6) 55% ✗
Baseline ML UNO -0.5 (-5.5) 137.8 (+3.2) 43% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNO -0.5 (-5.5) 139.4 (+1.6) 45% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2026 SELA 82 – 78 UNO
Jan 13, 2026 UNO 79 – 76 SELA
Feb 1, 2025 SELA 76 – 68 UNO
Jan 11, 2025 SELA 91 – 71 UNO
Mar 10, 2024 UNO 78 – 66 SELA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNO SELA
Overall 10-23 15-17
Conference 4-14 10-8
Home 7-6 9-4
Away 2-15 6-10
Neutral 1-2 0-3
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.7 66.6
Avg Pts Against 81.6 71.8
Massey -10.1 (#324) -8.6 (#308)
Bradley-Terry -1.76 (#312) -1.65 (#304)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.00 (#303) -1.68 (#284)
RPI 0.440 (#275) 0.418 (#306)
Shooting & Four Factors UNO SELA
FG% 38.2% 37.7%
3PT% 29.0% 29.9%
REB / G 33.7 32.2
OREB / G 10.0 10.5
AST / TO 0.57 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.1% 43.4%
TOV% 19.3% 20.7%
ORB% 24.9% 29.6%
FT Rate 25.9% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.2% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 17.5%
DRB% 66.6% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 23.4%

Game Analysis

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