Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SCST +260 NORF -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +7 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -5.9 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -6.4 (-0.6) | 144.0 (+7.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -6.5 (-0.5) | 144.8 (+6.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -6.2 (-0.8) | 146.5 (+4.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -7.0 (+0.0) | 144.6 (+6.4) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SCST 88 – 82 NORF |
| Feb 21, 2026 | NORF 90 – 71 SCST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NORF 89 – 82 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | NORF 66 – 65 SCST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SCST 91 – 88 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 15-0 |
| Away | 5-13 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#339) | -2.1 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#338) | -0.09 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.41 (#344) | -0.21 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#326) | 0.486 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.6% | 34.1% |
Game Analysis
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