Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -400 UCD +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +3 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -13.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -11.5 (-8.5) | 138.8 (+6.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -10.5 (-7.5) | 137.5 (+7.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -12.4 (-9.4) | 139.5 (+5.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -11.3 (-8.3) | 140.3 (+4.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UCI 79 – 69 UCD |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UCD 75 – 72 UCI |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCI 88 – 59 UCD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UCI 73 – 66 UCD |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UCD 54 – 52 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-0 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-9 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#60) | -0.2 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#76) | -0.64 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#86) | -0.49 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#63) | 0.451 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.