Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | HOU -3500 WVU +1350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +34 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -27.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -20.8 (+13.2) | 131.8 (+12.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -20.7 (+13.3) | 130.7 (+13.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -23.7 (+10.3) | 130.2 (+13.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -24.9 (+9.1) | 132.3 (+11.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | HOU 77 – 48 WVU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | HOU 63 – 49 WVU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | HOU 70 – 54 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-5 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-14 |
| Home | 17-0 | 9-9 |
| Away | 7-3 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 23.9 (#2) | 0.7 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.59 (#1) | -0.48 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.30 (#1) | -0.20 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#11) | 0.488 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 16.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 42.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.3% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.6% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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