Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | WVU +350 HOU -460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +14 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -9.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -8.3 (-5.7) | 123.7 (-11.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -6.8 (-7.2) | 123.5 (-11.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -6.6 (-7.4) | 123.9 (-11.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -6.8 (-7.2) | 126.9 (-14.9) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | HOU 77 – 48 WVU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | HOU 70 – 54 WVU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HOU 89 – 55 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 35-5 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 19-1 |
| Home | 13-4 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 10-0 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 9-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 58.6 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#42) | 25.7 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#39) | 3.48 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#49) | 4.47 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#40) | 0.648 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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