You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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82–37 on winners spread MAE 8.1 119 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Harvard @ Princeton +7.1 143.1 79% 67–74 ✓
UL Monroe @ Georgia Southern +2.8 135.2 65% 75–81 ✓
Louisiana @ Georgia State +3.5 139.3 73% 58–65 ✓
Saint Louis @ Richmond +1.0 146.9 58% 66–68 ✓
Niagara @ Rider -0.9 135.2 44% 68–70 ✗
Manhattan @ Marist +4.9 140.3 74% 56–74 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Monmouth +4.0 131.0 65% 70–65 ✗
Canisius @ Iona +13.8 143.2 85% 65–72 ✓
Northwestern @ Penn State +1.8 129.0 61% 60–67 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Little Rock -8.3 135.9 23% 68–55 ✓
UT Arlington @ South Alabama +6.7 135.4 76% 52–62 ✓
App State @ Arkansas State -0.6 129.2 47% 60–62 ✗
Iowa @ Nebraska -12.7 164.2 13% 88–78 ✓
Texas State @ Troy -0.6 129.2 41% 66–61 ✓
San José State @ San Diego State +20.2 130.5 91% 52–77 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan State -3.1 145.4 48% 65–68 ✗
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +4.5 130.1 73% 62–66 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma +3.8 135.9 71% 62–66 ✓
Elon @ Northeastern +1.8 132.4 66% 67–54 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Toledo +14.6 154.6 88% 73–88 ✓
Florida @ Georgia -8.2 144.6 20% 84–72 ✓
Duquesne @ Rhode Island +9.9 130.1 83% 54–70 ✓
Butler @ Marquette +10.2 140.6 84% 56–64 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Central Connecticut -4.4 127.6 30% 65–46 ✓
Maine @ UMBC +12.7 142.2 88% 79–93 ✓
North Florida @ Stetson +0.8 140.6 50% 74–69 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +12.4 141.9 86% 93–100 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.3 138.9 52% 69–76 ✓
Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky +1.2 146.1 54% 58–72 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +3.2 141.2 61% 81–78 ✗
Furman @ The Citadel -7.0 155.2 25% 94–59 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State +5.9 134.7 72% 69–74 ✓
Kentucky @ Arkansas -0.8 146.4 65% 73–75 ✗
Texas @ West Virginia -2.3 133.8 39% 82–81 ✓
Boston University @ Bucknell -6.1 146.0 35% 78–89 ✗
Army @ Holy Cross -4.1 140.4 31% 66–58 ✓
Lehigh @ Lafayette +3.1 141.4 68% 78–58 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ American University -4.2 128.4 33% 55–65 ✗
Navy @ Colgate +5.0 129.7 77% 69–74 ✓
Merrimack @ St. Francis Brooklyn +1.0 131.5 44% 72–52 ✗
Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart +2.7 146.8 63% 68–80 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Long Island University +10.1 156.1 85% 77–84 ✓
Hampton @ High Point +7.6 138.3 79% 77–88 ✓
North Carolina @ NC State -3.4 151.4 30% 84–74 ✓
Yale @ Cornell -0.2 151.5 45% 65–71 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Dartmouth +0.3 138.8 52% 70–84 ✓
NJIT @ Hartford +4.3 139.7 73% 62–83 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +6.1 157.3 76% 66–81 ✓
North Alabama @ Jacksonville State +11.0 139.6 85% 52–69 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas State +1.3 134.2 58% 74–73 ✗
Dayton @ La Salle -10.8 130.6 19% 60–62 ✗
North Dakota State @ North Dakota -9.1 145.5 26% 79–53 ✓
William & Mary @ Hofstra +14.4 150.2 89% 67–83 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Buffalo +16.5 145.5 89% 60–70 ✓
Fordham @ Davidson +14.2 135.8 89% 45–66 ✓
New Mexico State @ Chicago State -12.5 138.2 16% 59–61 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Miami +0.4 137.7 49% 71–70 ✗
Clemson @ Boston College -2.6 138.0 39% 70–60 ✓
Cleveland State @ Oakland +2.0 145.0 62% 57–65 ✓
Denver @ Western Illinois +6.9 152.4 75% 83–77 ✗
Seton Hall @ Xavier +3.6 145.2 70% 82–66 ✗
Florida A&M @ Grambling +3.3 133.4 62% 79–73 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State +5.4 153.7 77% 64–75 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss +0.7 139.7 48% 76–66 ✗
Auburn @ Tennessee +4.3 142.0 80% 62–67 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon State -13.6 143.1 12% 94–55 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Howard +5.2 147.0 73% 67–77 ✓
Tulsa @ East Carolina +0.7 137.8 56% 59–64 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego -2.6 139.9 41% 76–81 ✗
Coppin State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +4.0 140.9 70% 50–70 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +7.6 121.6 76% 49–56 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Charlotte -0.5 140.6 49% 74–69 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Arizona -8.4 142.2 25% 73–49 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State -3.0 156.0 45% 77–87 ✗
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +7.2 138.3 79% 54–63 ✓
Wagner @ Bryant -0.6 153.6 55% 70–78 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate -4.1 138.7 37% 70–72 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +18.6 148.6 89% 86–92 ✓
Florida State @ Virginia +5.6 124.8 69% 64–63 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Vermont +14.9 137.2 88% 61–62 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Drake +8.5 128.3 79% 60–62 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State +2.4 149.0 58% 66–86 ✓
Samford @ Chattanooga +10.9 144.0 83% 57–70 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Delaware +3.8 145.8 64% 69–62 ✗
Charleston @ Drexel +1.8 149.2 63% 79–80 ✓
Towson @ James Madison -7.0 139.7 26% 95–59 ✓
Air Force @ New Mexico +6.7 138.4 79% 65–69 ✓
Morehead State @ SIU Edwardsville -6.6 133.9 29% 70–77 ✗
Austin Peay @ Eastern Illinois -7.7 124.3 16% 64–52 ✓
Morgan State @ Delaware State -6.9 140.9 21% 76–69 ✓
Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville +5.1 132.9 73% 96–98 ✓
VCU @ Massachusetts -4.6 141.4 26% 77–62 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis -5.9 118.0 18% 67–41 ✓
Murray State @ Southeast Missouri State -12.7 149.3 14% 70–68 ✓
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M +1.8 140.4 63% 65–80 ✓
Nicholls @ SE Louisiana -2.5 159.1 43% 81–83 ✗
Incarnate Word @ McNeese +7.4 146.0 77% 69–67 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin +2.9 144.0 69% 71–73 ✓
San Francisco @ San Diego -12.1 139.1 17% 78–62 ✓
Portland @ Santa Clara +11.0 157.4 86% 89–102 ✓
Radford @ North Carolina A&T +0.9 128.4 49% 62–53 ✗
Longwood @ Campbell -0.5 129.5 45% 60–55 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame +9.9 139.1 85% 56–90 ✓
Missouri State @ Evansville -14.6 137.9 14% 88–79 ✓
Western Michigan @ Bowling Green +9.6 151.0 78% 78–67 ✗
Duke @ Syracuse -4.5 150.1 31% 97–72 ✓
Texas Tech @ TCU -4.8 128.5 43% 66–69 ✗
Wisconsin @ Rutgers -0.5 133.9 46% 66–61 ✓
South Carolina @ Alabama +10.5 155.8 82% 71–90 ✓
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +11.2 144.4 87% 59–63 ✓
Washington State @ Washington -4.7 137.8 39% 70–78 ✗
Columbia @ Brown +11.4 138.5 86% 74–81 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Northern Iowa -3.0 137.0 40% 96–102 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Joseph's -4.0 139.7 30% 54–52 ✓
Tennessee State @ Belmont +17.0 143.1 89% 67–87 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Southern +9.8 134.6 79% 87–84 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +4.7 150.6 69% 79–93 ✓
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M +2.2 140.5 58% 72–69 ✗
UAlbany @ Stony Brook +2.6 137.7 63% 50–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.