Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
| Money | PSU -130 NU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -1.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -1.8 (+5.2) | 129.0 (-2.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -2.5 (+4.5) | 129.5 (-2.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -2.0 (+5.0) | 130.4 (-3.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -1.6 (+5.4) | 131.0 (-4.0) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | NU 76 – 66 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NU 94 – 73 PSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | PSU 84 – 80 NU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | NU 68 – 63 PSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#77) | 8.7 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#87) | 1.06 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#84) | 1.38 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#117) | 0.509 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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