Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -2000 UML +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +1 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -15.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -14.9 (-13.9) | 137.2 (-14.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -14.6 (-13.6) | 138.4 (-15.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -14.1 (-13.1) | 138.6 (-15.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -15.7 (-14.7) | 137.0 (-14.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVM 66 – 64 UML |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UVM 77 – 68 UML |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UVM 85 – 61 UML |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UVM 67 – 63 UML |
| Mar 16, 2024 | UVM 66 – 61 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 10-4 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#71) | -4.6 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#85) | -1.16 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#73) | -1.53 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#46) | 0.460 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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