Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | NE -190 ELON +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +13 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -3.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -1.8 (-14.8) | 132.4 (-11.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -2.3 (-15.3) | 133.9 (-12.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -2.4 (-15.4) | 134.7 (-13.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -2.7 (-15.7) | 134.4 (-13.4) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | NE 85 – 78 ELON |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ELON 103 – 91 NE |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ELON 71 – 60 NE |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NE 61 – 58 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2024 | NE 84 – 72 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 0-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#250) | -5.7 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#251) | -0.85 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#251) | -0.91 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#265) | 0.469 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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