Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | TCU +180 TTU -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -5.6 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -4.8 (+7.8) | 128.5 (+6.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -2.9 (+5.9) | 130.7 (+4.3) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -2.9 (+5.9) | 132.1 (+2.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -2.7 (+5.7) | 129.6 (+5.4) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | TCU 73 – 65 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | TCU 69 – 66 TTU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TTU 71 – 57 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TTU 82 – 81 TCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | TCU 85 – 78 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 18-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#53) | 17.9 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#41) | 3.37 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#39) | 4.09 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#92) | 0.602 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.