Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -900 FOR +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +21 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -12.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -14.2 (+6.8) | 135.8 (-24.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -12.5 (+8.5) | 136.4 (-25.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -12.7 (+8.3) | 136.5 (-25.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -13.3 (+7.7) | 138.1 (-27.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FOR 63 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 22, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DAV 80 – 69 FOR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DAV 74 – 64 FOR |
| Mar 12, 2024 | FOR 71 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#57) | -0.5 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#28) | -0.12 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#38) | 0.00 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#24) | 0.495 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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