Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -125 CLE +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +8 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -3.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -2.0 (+6.0) | 145.0 (-23.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -2.3 (+5.7) | 148.2 (-26.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -2.3 (+5.7) | 149.9 (-27.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -2.8 (+5.2) | 147.5 (-25.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CLE 91 – 78 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | OAK 97 – 74 CLE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OAK 91 – 86 CLE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | CLE 92 – 75 OAK |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 15-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#153) | -0.4 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#174) | -0.16 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#195) | -0.24 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#113) | 0.506 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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