Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -360 CARK +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -7.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -6.1 (+8.9) | 157.3 (-10.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -5.3 (+9.7) | 158.4 (-11.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -5.2 (+9.8) | 157.6 (-10.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -4.7 (+10.3) | 157.2 (-10.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | CARK 86 – 78 LIP |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LIP 84 – 66 CARK |
| Feb 27, 2025 | LIP 78 – 60 CARK |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LIP 68 – 55 CARK |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LIP 85 – 68 CARK |
Game Analysis
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