Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | BUCK +210 BU -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +11 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | BU -7.9 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -6.1 (+17.1) | 146.0 (+21.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -6.4 (+17.4) | 148.9 (+18.1) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -6.3 (+17.3) | 149.8 (+17.2) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -7.1 (+18.1) | 148.1 (+18.9) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BU 82 – 69 BUCK |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BUCK 103 – 97 BU |
| Feb 13, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 60 BU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BU 85 – 82 BUCK |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BU 77 – 62 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#336) | -1.8 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#334) | -0.33 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#338) | -0.48 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#344) | 0.492 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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