Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | DETM -160 PFW +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +3 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -3.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -3.2 (-6.2) | 141.2 (+17.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -1.8 (-4.8) | 144.0 (+15.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -2.0 (-5.0) | 146.6 (+12.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -2.1 (-5.1) | 141.6 (+17.4) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | PFW 83 – 76 DETM |
| Dec 14, 2025 | PFW 81 – 77 DETM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | PFW 90 – 67 DETM |
| Dec 5, 2024 | DETM 79 – 78 PFW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PFW 83 – 69 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 15-6 |
| Home | 9-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-15 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#226) | -3.3 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#234) | -0.52 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#236) | -0.88 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#183) | 0.485 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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