Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
| Money | COR +140 YALE -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -0.4 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -0.2 (+6.2) | 151.5 (-15.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -0.4 (+6.4) | 152.4 (-16.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -0.3 (+6.3) | 153.2 (-17.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -0.6 (+6.6) | 155.3 (-19.3) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 11-3 |
| Home | 10-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#209) | 1.1 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#202) | 0.44 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#200) | 0.50 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#217) | 0.555 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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