You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
44–21 on winners spread MAE 9.6 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Michigan @ Miami (OH) +9.0 147.6 80% 83–69 ✗
Temple @ Memphis +11.0 140.3 83% 64–78 ✓
Marshall @ Middle Tennessee +8.5 152.7 84% 65–74 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Old Dominion -0.4 133.5 48% 51–70 ✗
Florida International @ Charlotte +5.7 141.3 73% 55–64 ✓
Bryant @ St. Francis Brooklyn -2.0 151.6 42% 86–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Sacred Heart -1.4 132.9 49% 65–77 ✗
Merrimack @ Long Island University +5.1 138.6 69% 74–85 ✓
Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut -0.5 137.1 43% 79–63 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Winthrop +12.4 146.6 87% 59–89 ✓
Youngstown State @ Wright State +6.8 146.8 69% 71–84 ✓
Robert Morris @ Northern Kentucky +10.4 139.6 84% 64–78 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +6.7 145.7 70% 81–70 ✗
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy -0.8 144.9 47% 67–74 ✗
Omaha @ Western Illinois +12.7 156.0 87% 76–88 ✓
Elon @ Hofstra +11.3 143.7 86% 81–55 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Drexel +6.0 143.1 70% 69–63 ✗
Charleston @ Delaware +1.9 150.6 61% 99–96 ✗
Siena @ Quinnipiac +1.5 142.5 55% 78–71 ✗
Maryland @ Indiana +5.9 138.6 74% 64–74 ✓
Sam Houston @ Stephen F. Austin +4.8 133.4 72% 67–69 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois -9.0 151.0 16% 79–68 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown -1.2 149.1 41% 68–65 ✓
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri State +5.2 151.5 77% 69–76 ✓
UAB @ UTSA -12.5 146.9 15% 68–56 ✓
Southern Miss @ North Texas +22.3 122.9 90% 61–85 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Rice -3.0 153.0 33% 83–79 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona +1.9 131.8 56% 70–66 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado +1.3 157.0 59% 85–76 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian +4.5 142.3 72% 68–82 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +2.6 140.4 62% 52–67 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Tarleton State +8.2 141.7 82% 62–75 ✓
Lamar @ Abilene Christian +17.3 143.6 89% 42–77 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -7.2 120.9 19% 66–54 ✓
Green Bay @ UIC +6.9 136.3 76% 77–81 ✓
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -1.2 161.8 37% 106–102 ✓
South Dakota @ Kansas City +2.2 144.7 60% 63–72 ✓
Denver @ St. Thomas +4.1 147.0 60% 91–80 ✗
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois -16.1 127.7 12% 82–46 ✓
Nicholls @ Northwestern State -6.7 155.4 23% 80–62 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese +0.2 149.0 43% 65–53 ✗
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -6.1 156.5 30% 89–73 ✓
Ohio State @ Illinois +5.2 141.9 74% 86–83 ✗
Belmont @ Murray State +5.2 140.6 74% 43–76 ✓
Arizona State @ Colorado +6.9 138.8 77% 82–65 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -1.0 132.7 38% 76–69 ✓
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech +3.8 142.1 68% 92–56 ✗
Austin Peay @ SIU Edwardsville +1.3 132.5 56% 68–64 ✗
Montana @ Southern Utah +6.4 146.4 80% 74–82 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana +0.9 159.6 61% 79–84 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Tech -1.9 143.7 44% 71–61 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon -2.5 138.8 42% 63–68 ✗
Saint Mary's @ San Diego -12.4 130.9 17% 60–46 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside +11.7 133.5 85% 57–79 ✓
UC San Diego @ Long Beach State +6.3 145.4 79% 87–103 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -0.6 128.1 43% 64–66 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State -3.2 149.5 43% 75–81 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State +1.2 140.4 62% 51–83 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ BYU +12.9 143.0 87% 59–79 ✓
Portland @ Pacific -1.0 142.9 52% 75–69 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pepperdine -9.9 158.3 20% 89–73 ✓
Arizona @ Utah -10.5 154.4 19% 97–77 ✓
USC @ Oregon State -11.2 141.1 14% 94–91 ✓
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +11.0 130.4 87% 54–63 ✓
Akron @ Ohio +7.2 133.0 81% 91–83 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.